Well here goes.
It does not seem like we are getting any security guarantees with the current Foreign Policy that we are following. This is the one that works on stabilizing the Middle East by having an opium war with Afghanistan.
This does not have anything to do with the settlements issue. I once said that Obama has to stop settlements on the part of Israel and has to pass the Health Care reform. He has done the latter, but he has not done the former. This has also spawned a visit by the Iranian leader to Lebanon where he said that Lebanon is a part of of the Middle East implying that it is not an independent country. I have no idea what this is supposed to mean; but it does demonstrate that Iran will help the Hezbollah when the time comes. Hezbollah is already lobbing bombs into Israel, just not dirty bombs. Some people say it is only a matter time before the dirty bomb is used; for the moment, I do not think Hezbollah would use a dirty bomb, but who knows.
Then there is the inability to deal with Genocide with Tibet and in Darfur. This leads the Chinese and Omar E. Shariff to believe that they can get away with it. Well, they are getting away with right now, so a Foreign Policy needs to be created that stops both Genocides. The inability to deal with these two issues highlights just how weak this Foreign Policy really is; and how intractable these problems really are. Nobody but us, the United States, really challenges the Chinese on Tibet;or Bashir with his deplorable policy with Darfur. Bashir has gotten away with ignoring the ICC for 2 years now. I think we need to push more aggressively for concrete results with both of these issues. If not for the fact, that rape is becoming so commonplace is some places that it is not seen as the sinful injustice that it is; it is seen as some kind of game.
Then I just wanted to say that one of my ideas has taken root where Encore International has partnered with Peace Corps so as to extend the time, by a considerable amount, that a project has to be up and running. This is a much more honest approach to these kinds of development issues.
These are my thoughts for today........
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Tuesday, July 20, 2010: Sihanoukville, Cambodia
Well, here goes
I wrote a blog yesterday and talked about the fact that I don't know with a certainty that we are secure from a nuclear accident. Because I live in the "Third Word" or the "developing" world, this insecurity is re-inforced every day because I see societies and people that are determined to go their own way. Of course, this includes, nuclear weaponization and security. There is no political cohesion like there is between Europe and America or Russia and America. So, I wrote that somebody is going to break with the pact and try a dirty bomb. India is the most vulnerable country and New York is the most vulnerable city. India is so at risk because it is completely encircled by hostile, ________neighbors: Burma, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Nepal, West Bengal. New York is so at risk because there has already been 1 very successful attack on Manhattan in the broad daylight. So far Iran and N. Korea have appeared to be quite willing to develope a dirty bomb; how they are going to use it is the largely unanswered question.
What do the probability studies project about this? I would guess that there is a more than 85%chance that both of these countries will never surrender to some kind of "trust me with a nuclear bomb" scenario.
What we have to figure out is what does this 85% probability include.
These are my thoughts for today.
I wrote a blog yesterday and talked about the fact that I don't know with a certainty that we are secure from a nuclear accident. Because I live in the "Third Word" or the "developing" world, this insecurity is re-inforced every day because I see societies and people that are determined to go their own way. Of course, this includes, nuclear weaponization and security. There is no political cohesion like there is between Europe and America or Russia and America. So, I wrote that somebody is going to break with the pact and try a dirty bomb. India is the most vulnerable country and New York is the most vulnerable city. India is so at risk because it is completely encircled by hostile, ________neighbors: Burma, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Nepal, West Bengal. New York is so at risk because there has already been 1 very successful attack on Manhattan in the broad daylight. So far Iran and N. Korea have appeared to be quite willing to develope a dirty bomb; how they are going to use it is the largely unanswered question.
What do the probability studies project about this? I would guess that there is a more than 85%chance that both of these countries will never surrender to some kind of "trust me with a nuclear bomb" scenario.
What we have to figure out is what does this 85% probability include.
These are my thoughts for today.
Sunday, July 18, 2010
Monday, July 19, 2010: Sihanoukville, Cambodia
Here goes,
I don't know why I have cut back so much on writing on my blog because I think the insights are valuable. I guess it is because I am not sure what I am supposed to say. So, I am just going to say what comes into my mind and how I feel about something.
I have got myself caught up in somekind of quandry again about where to go to next. I have been living in SE Asia for 3 years between Cambodia and Thailand, but I do not know what the parameters of free expression are here. Maybe this is what has caused the quandry. For example, when I was leaving Thailand, I had to go around Bangkok in the middle of the night because the route between 2 of the bus stations was closed off during the day. When I arrived in Trat I got sick for 2 days and spent most of the time in the john. Actually I got nausea a lot in Thailand and do not know why. I got sick when I first arrived there and was staying at Boom Bay Bungalows; then I got naseau again just before I was going to leave. I got this nausea just after I called my bank in Florida about a funds' transfer. This lasted to 2 days too. So, I don't know why all this illness but I did not analyze it either. In the end, when I was in Trat, I decided it was the heat. I can't take the heat; it is too hard on my heart at 68. Now here in Cambodia I have been pretty good except for my eyes. A lot of tearing and sore eyes - both conditions that I do not like. The eye situation is much more serious because it involves my head.
So, I have been thinking that the nuclear non-proliferation treaty is not going to hold and somebody is going to break with the pack and use a dirty bomb. I think India is extremely vulnerable because it is completely surrounded by hostile neighbors who are much less prosperous and not very transparent. I actually think India is more vulnerable than S. Korea. North Korea says it is a nuclear power, but I don't think it knows how to use it successfully. It does have a friendship agreement with Iran, but that is all; it does not have a friendship treaty with China.
Cambodia - why am I in Cambodia? I thought I would come here and do some reading again but actually I have been working on the computer, mostly with issues having to do with the Gulf or other environmental issues. The Gulf of Mexico is my tragedy too because I am from Ft. Myers and went to the beach for 24 years. So, I have been spending a lot of my time corresponding with others about the Gulf. Now, the Gulf Region has shown itself to
be extremely vulnerable to exploitation. I, personally, think the most important thing is for the Gulf Region to deal with the exploitation first so that the cultures are secure and financially sustainable. But, each state feels differently about the off-shore drilling and the ban which just goes to show that a fractured political region is anybody's game. Because there is a big difference between Louisiana and Florida, this region has not seen the last of oil spills. I go with Florida and the environmental position. Now back to Cambodia.
I am back staying at the same place I stayed in 2 years ago because the apartments are nice, there is no flooding in the torrential rains, it is cooler and there are some good book stores. These are usually not the reasons why I stay somewhere, I usually stay somewhere because of historical value, but I stay somewhere that is safe during the monsoon. When this one is over I am either staying here or going back to India. I think that Thailand is putting off the inevitable saying today is more important that yesterday, tomorrow or quality of life for the "little folk".
This is what I have said for today. I have to get my bearings first.
I don't know why I have cut back so much on writing on my blog because I think the insights are valuable. I guess it is because I am not sure what I am supposed to say. So, I am just going to say what comes into my mind and how I feel about something.
I have got myself caught up in somekind of quandry again about where to go to next. I have been living in SE Asia for 3 years between Cambodia and Thailand, but I do not know what the parameters of free expression are here. Maybe this is what has caused the quandry. For example, when I was leaving Thailand, I had to go around Bangkok in the middle of the night because the route between 2 of the bus stations was closed off during the day. When I arrived in Trat I got sick for 2 days and spent most of the time in the john. Actually I got nausea a lot in Thailand and do not know why. I got sick when I first arrived there and was staying at Boom Bay Bungalows; then I got naseau again just before I was going to leave. I got this nausea just after I called my bank in Florida about a funds' transfer. This lasted to 2 days too. So, I don't know why all this illness but I did not analyze it either. In the end, when I was in Trat, I decided it was the heat. I can't take the heat; it is too hard on my heart at 68. Now here in Cambodia I have been pretty good except for my eyes. A lot of tearing and sore eyes - both conditions that I do not like. The eye situation is much more serious because it involves my head.
So, I have been thinking that the nuclear non-proliferation treaty is not going to hold and somebody is going to break with the pack and use a dirty bomb. I think India is extremely vulnerable because it is completely surrounded by hostile neighbors who are much less prosperous and not very transparent. I actually think India is more vulnerable than S. Korea. North Korea says it is a nuclear power, but I don't think it knows how to use it successfully. It does have a friendship agreement with Iran, but that is all; it does not have a friendship treaty with China.
Cambodia - why am I in Cambodia? I thought I would come here and do some reading again but actually I have been working on the computer, mostly with issues having to do with the Gulf or other environmental issues. The Gulf of Mexico is my tragedy too because I am from Ft. Myers and went to the beach for 24 years. So, I have been spending a lot of my time corresponding with others about the Gulf. Now, the Gulf Region has shown itself to
be extremely vulnerable to exploitation. I, personally, think the most important thing is for the Gulf Region to deal with the exploitation first so that the cultures are secure and financially sustainable. But, each state feels differently about the off-shore drilling and the ban which just goes to show that a fractured political region is anybody's game. Because there is a big difference between Louisiana and Florida, this region has not seen the last of oil spills. I go with Florida and the environmental position. Now back to Cambodia.
I am back staying at the same place I stayed in 2 years ago because the apartments are nice, there is no flooding in the torrential rains, it is cooler and there are some good book stores. These are usually not the reasons why I stay somewhere, I usually stay somewhere because of historical value, but I stay somewhere that is safe during the monsoon. When this one is over I am either staying here or going back to India. I think that Thailand is putting off the inevitable saying today is more important that yesterday, tomorrow or quality of life for the "little folk".
This is what I have said for today. I have to get my bearings first.
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Sunday, March 28, 2010: Koh Samui, Thailand
ssWell, here goes.
I have been awa y from my blog for 5 monthns. I just stopped writing when the discussion about Iran's intentions got going. I don't know why I stopped, but now I have started up again and I am going to say first off that I listened to the BBC's discussion this morning about Afghanistan. I am suggesting that Afghanistan-Pakistan-Iraq-Iran-Taliban form a network of sometimes co-operating elements. This is why the Taliban think they are winning and that the West is losing. This structure is created so that they can set whatever parameters they want around a conflict. They are not interested in what the United Nations or the International Code of Conduct would suggest. This helps to explain why the terrorists behave the way that they do. For them, theirs is on the only world they are interested in and which happens to be on planet Earth that they care little about. It sure would be nice if they could be kicked off the planet for their war time behavior, but I do not think this is going to happen. Then, the next question becomes why do these other Islamic countries not condemn the terrorist and send them all to prison as criminals and not holy warriors. They are not Holy Warriors; they are societal rejects who are violent and abusive. The Imans use them to carry out their suicial mission against the West because they don't even know what other options might be open to them. These young rejects are kept ignorant so they can be easily incited to violence and bomb buuilding. I suppose this makes them feel intelligent and in command; it helps them forget that they are ignorant and unskilled. So, the bombs get bigger and better and, of course, the nuclear option is cherry to be picked. They, all of these personnages, have no understanding of what a nuclear reality really is. They know it to be a big thing that can kill a lot people and do a lot damage. They have no education about "nuclear winter". This holy alliance that I mentioned above is extremely dangerous.
These are my thoughts for today.
I have been awa y from my blog for 5 monthns. I just stopped writing when the discussion about Iran's intentions got going. I don't know why I stopped, but now I have started up again and I am going to say first off that I listened to the BBC's discussion this morning about Afghanistan. I am suggesting that Afghanistan-Pakistan-Iraq-Iran-Taliban form a network of sometimes co-operating elements. This is why the Taliban think they are winning and that the West is losing. This structure is created so that they can set whatever parameters they want around a conflict. They are not interested in what the United Nations or the International Code of Conduct would suggest. This helps to explain why the terrorists behave the way that they do. For them, theirs is on the only world they are interested in and which happens to be on planet Earth that they care little about. It sure would be nice if they could be kicked off the planet for their war time behavior, but I do not think this is going to happen. Then, the next question becomes why do these other Islamic countries not condemn the terrorist and send them all to prison as criminals and not holy warriors. They are not Holy Warriors; they are societal rejects who are violent and abusive. The Imans use them to carry out their suicial mission against the West because they don't even know what other options might be open to them. These young rejects are kept ignorant so they can be easily incited to violence and bomb buuilding. I suppose this makes them feel intelligent and in command; it helps them forget that they are ignorant and unskilled. So, the bombs get bigger and better and, of course, the nuclear option is cherry to be picked. They, all of these personnages, have no understanding of what a nuclear reality really is. They know it to be a big thing that can kill a lot people and do a lot damage. They have no education about "nuclear winter". This holy alliance that I mentioned above is extremely dangerous.
These are my thoughts for today.
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
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